2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire
The 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. New Hampshire voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1] New Hampshire is expected to be heavily targeted by both parties in 2024, even though the state has voted Democratic in seven out of the last eight presidential elections and is seen as a blue-leaning state.
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| Elections in New Hampshire |
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Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden has stated that he intends to run for reelection to a second term.[2]
Primary elections
New Hampshire has held the famous "first-in-the-nation" primary since 1920. Delegates are elected separately from a non-binding poll, which dates from 1952. Candidates qualify by presenting a check for $1000 to the Secretary of State's office by a certain date.
Democratic primary
The New Hampshire Democratic primary is scheduled to be held on February 6, 2024, alongside the Nevada primary.
Republican primary
The New Hampshire Republican primary is scheduled to be held on February 13, 2024.
General election
Polling
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
| co/efficient | January 25–26, 2023 | 1,179 (LV) | – | 40% | 39% | 21% |
| Emerson College | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell | October 14–25, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| Emerson College | October 18–19, 2022 | 727 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Emerson College | September 14–15, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| University of New Hampshire | June 16–20, 2022 | 845 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 43% | 8% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Saint Anselm College[upper-alpha 1] | May 7–10, 2021 | 1,267 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
- Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 37% | 21% |
| University of New Hampshire | June 16–20, 2022 | 845 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
- Joe Biden vs. Chris Sununu
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Chris Sununu Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 44% | 20% |
| co/efficient | January 25–26, 2023 | 1,179 (LV) | – | 36% | 48% | 16% |
| Praecones Analytica | April 14–16, 2022 | 503 (RV) | – | 36% | 53% | 12% |
- Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
- Partisan clients
- Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
References
- Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- Din, Benjamin (March 25, 2021). "Biden: 'My plan is to run for reelection' in 2024". Politico.com. Retrieved July 19, 2021.
