2024 United States Senate election in Indiana
The 2024 United States Senate election in Indiana will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Indiana. Incumbent one-term Republican Senator Mike Braun is eligible to run for a second term in office but decided to instead run for Governor.[1] This will be the first election for this seat with no incumbent running since 1958.[lower-alpha 1]
 | |||||||
| |||||||
| |||||||
| |||||||
| Elections in Indiana |
|---|
 |
Republican primary
Declared
- Jim Banks, U.S. Representative from Indiana's 3rd congressional district (2017–present)[2]
Publicly expressed interest
- Eric Holcomb, Governor of Indiana (2017–present) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[3][4]
Potential
- Jennifer-Ruth Green, educator, U.S. Air Force veteran, and nominee for Indiana's 1st congressional district in 2022[5][6]
- Trey Hollingsworth, former U.S. Representative from Indiana's 9th congressional district (2017–2023)[7][8]
Declined
- Mike Braun, incumbent U.S. Senator (2019–present) (running for governor)[1]
- Mitch Daniels, former Governor of Indiana (2005–2013), former President of Purdue University (2013–2022), and former Director of the Office of Management and Budget (2001–2003)[9]
- Victoria Spartz, U.S. Representative from Indiana's 5th congressional district (2021–present)[10]
- Todd Rokita, Indiana Attorney General (2021–present), former U.S. Representative from Indiana's 4th congressional district (2011–2019), former Indiana Secretary of State (2002–2010), and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 (running for re-election)[11]
Endorsements
Jim Banks
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[12]
- Stephen Miller, former Senior Advisor to the President (2017–2021)[13]
- Federal officials
- John Barrasso, U.S. Senator from Wyoming (2007–present)[14]
- Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2019–present)[15]
- Susan Brooks, former U.S. Representative for Indiana's 5th congressional district (2013–2021)[16]
- Larry Bucshon, U.S. Representative for Indiana's 8th congressional district (2011–present)[17]
- Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–present)[18]
- Steve Daines, U.S. Senator from Montana (2015–present)[19]
- Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senator from Kentucky (1985–present), Senate Minority Leader (2021–present), and former Senate Majority Leader (2015–2021)[20]
- Greg Pence, U.S. Representative for Indiana's 6th congressional district (2019–present)[21]
- Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator from Florida (2011–present)[22]
- John Thune, U.S. Senator from South Dakota (2005–present), Senate Minority Whip (2021–present), and former Senate Majority Whip (2019–2021)[23]
- J. D. Vance, U.S. Senator from Ohio (2023–present)[24]
- State officials
- Justin Busch, state senator for the 16th district (2018–present)[18]
- Suzanne Crouch, Lieutenant Governor of Indiana (2017–present)[25]
- Michelle Davis, state representative for the 54th district (2020–present)[18]
- Organizations
Polling
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Jim Banks |
Mitch Daniels |
Trey Hollingsworth |
Todd Rokita |
Victoria Spartz |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellwether Research | December 11–17, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 14% | – | 11% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 39% |
| 10% | 32% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 29% | ||||
| Response:AI[upper-alpha 1] | December 9–16, 2022 | 503 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 14% | 35% | 6% | — | 14% | 9%[lower-alpha 3] | 17% |
Democratic primary
Potential
- Joe Donnelly, U.S. Ambassador to the Holy See (2022–present) and former U.S. Senator (2013–2019)[29][30]
- Joe Hogsett, Mayor of Indianapolis, former Indiana Secretary of State, former U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Indiana, and former chair of the Indiana Democratic Party[31]
Declined
- Ron Klain, former White House Chief of Staff (2021–2023)[30]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[32] | Solid R | January 24, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[33] | Solid R | January 6, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] | Safe R | January 24, 2023 |
Notes
- Richard Lugar ran for re-election to a seventh term in 2012, but lost in the Republican primary to Richard Mourdock.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Someone else" with 10%, Ruth-Green with 4%, and Hill with 2%
- Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by Spartz's campaign.
References
- Wren, Adam. "Braun to run for Indiana governor, opening Senate seat in 2024". POLITICO.
- Wright, David (January 17, 2023). "GOP Rep. Jim Banks announces Indiana US Senate campaign". CNN.
- Garbacz, Steve (December 1, 2022). "Banks 'seriously considering' Senate run in 2024".
There's a possibility that Gov. Eric Holcomb...could also make a run
- Fowler, Ashley (December 7, 2022). "Holcomb on possible 2024 Senate run: 'There'll be time for me to think about the future in the future'". WISH-TV.
- Everett, Burgess; Beavers, Olivia (December 5, 2022). "Red-state rodeos to set GOP's 2024 Senate chances". Politico. Retrieved December 5, 2022.
- Carden, Dan (December 25, 2022). "Poll suggests defeated Northwest Indiana US House candidate next time might run for US Senate". The Times of Northwest Indiana.
- Wren, Adam; Beavers, Olivia (September 22, 2022). "Hoosier free-for-all? Spartz eyes Senate run in 2024 as Braun pursues gov race". Politico. Retrieved September 23, 2022.
- "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 12/15". December 15, 2022.
Rep. Trey Hollingsworth is indeed 'seriously considering' running to succeed Sen. Mike Braun
- Weaver, Al (January 31, 2023). "Mitch Daniels passes on Senate campaign".
- Weaver, Al (February 3, 2023). "Victoria Spartz passes on Senate run, to retire from Congress at end of term". The Hill.
- "Indiana Attorney General Todd Rokita not seeking higher office". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
- Weaver, Al (February 1, 2023). "Trump endorses Jim Banks for Indiana Senate seat". The Hill.
- Shaw, Adan (January 23, 2023). "Jim Banks wins Stephen Miller's backing for 'bold pro-American agenda,' after launching Senate bid". Fox News.
- Oshin, Olafimihan (February 2, 2023). "Banks lands first endorsement from Senate Republican leadership". The Hill.
- Gans, Jared (February 21, 2023). "Ten Republican Senators hosting fundraiser for Banks' Senate bid". The Hill.
- "At the Races: Train wreck — it's not just a metaphor". February 23, 2023.
- "Banks' shot: Rising conservative dives into Indiana Senate race". January 17, 2023.
- "Indiana Rep. Jim Banks announces bid for Braun's Senate seat". NBC News. Retrieved January 17, 2023.
- "Steve Daines endorses Jim Banks". about.bgov.com. Bloomberg.com. Retrieved February 1, 2023.
- Elkind, Elizabeth (March 6, 2023). "McConnell to appear at fundraiser for Trump ally Jim Banks' Senate campaign". Fox News.
- "Banks' shot: Rising conservative dives into Indiana Senate race". Politico. January 17, 2023.
- "Marco Rubio Endorses Jim Banks in Heated Hoosier Senate Race". American Reveille. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- Sivak, David (March 23, 2023). "Jim Banks picks up endorsement of No. 2 Senate Republican". Washington Examiner.
- Shaw, Adan (January 31, 2023). "Sen. JD Vance of Ohio backs Rep. Jim Banks in Indiana's Senate GOP primary". Fox News.
- Garbacz, Steve (March 21, 2023). "Lt. Gov. Crouch endorses Banks for Senate". KPC News.
- "CatholicVote.org Candidate Fund Endorses Jim Banks for Senate".
- "SBA Pro-Life America's Candidate Fund Endorses Pro-Life Champion Jim Banks for U.S. Senate".
- "We are pleased to announce our first endorsement in the 2024 cycle for conservative warrior @Jim_Banks! Jim is committed to an America First agenda and we are behind him 100%".
- Smith, Casey (December 12, 2022). "McCormick hints at run for Indiana governor, while other Democrats still mum". Indiana Capital Chronicle. Retrieved December 12, 2022.
- "Klain tells Indiana Dems he's not interested in a Senate bid". March 7, 2023.
- Blanchard, Peter; Wooten, Taylor (September 9, 2022). "What's next for Indy Mayor Joe Hogsett? Will he seek a third term?". Indianapolis Business Journal. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.