2024 United States Senate election in Michigan

The 2024 United States Senate election in Michigan will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a Class I member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Michigan. It will be held concurrently with the 2024 United States presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate, other elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

For related races, see 2024 United States Senate elections.
2024 United States Senate election in Michigan
November 5, 2024
 
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. senator

Debbie Stabenow
Democratic


Elections in Michigan
Federal government
U.S. President
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
State government
State elections
Gubernatorial elections
Attorney General elections
Secretary of State elections
Auditor General elections
State Senate elections
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Ballot proposals
1996
Proposal E
2004
Proposal 04-2
2006
Proposal 06-2
2012
Proposal 1
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2015
Proposal 1
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Proposal 1
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Detroit
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Incumbent Democratic Senator Debbie Stabenow was re-elected with 52.3% of the vote in 2018. She was first elected in 2000, defeating one-term Republican incumbent Spencer Abraham. On January 5, 2023, Stabenow announced that she would not be seeking re-election to a fifth term in office. This will be the first open race for this seat since 1994.[1][2]

Background

A typical swing state, Michigan is considered to be a purple to slightly blue state at the federal level, especially since in the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden carried Michigan by about 3 percentage points. However, Democrats have seen much more success in recent years in the state. Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats and a slight majority of the U.S. Representatives in its congressional delegation, as well as majorities in the Michigan Legislature and all statewide offices in the state.[3]

This race is considered to be competitive given the state's nearly even partisan lean and the fact that there is no incumbent; however, most analysts consider the race leaning towards the Democrats.[4]

Democratic primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Declined

Endorsements
Elissa Slotkin
State cabinet officials
State senators
State representatives
Municipal officials
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Pamela Pugh[lower-alpha 1]
Mayors
Declined to endorse
U.S. Senators

Republican primary

Declared

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Declined

Independents and third-party candidates

Potential

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[61] Lean D January 24, 2023
Inside Elections[62] Battleground January 6, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[63] Lean D January 24, 2023

Notes
  1. Has not declared their candidacy

References
  1. "Sen. Stabenow will not seek re-election in 2024". Upper Michigan Source. TV6 News Team. January 5, 2022. Retrieved January 5, 2023.
  2. Hughes, Siobhan (January 5, 2023). "Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow Won't Seek Re-Election". WSJ. Retrieved January 5, 2023.
  3. Cappelletti, Joey (November 9, 2022). "Whitmer, Democrats get sweeping wins in divided Michigan". Retrieved April 19, 2023.
  4. Coleman, J. Miles. "The Senate: Race for Majority Remains a Toss-up as 2024 Looms – Sabato's Crystal Ball". Retrieved February 25, 2023.
  5. Spangler, Todd (April 25, 2023). "Dearborn businessman challenges Elissa Slotkin for Senate bid". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved April 25, 2023.
  6. Haddad, Ken (April 19, 2023). "Michigan lawyer launches bid for US Senate seat". Click on Detroit. Retrieved April 25, 2023.
  7. "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 5/12".
  8. Wright, David (February 27, 2023). "Rep. Elissa Slotkin entering race to succeed retiring Michigan Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow". CNN. Retrieved February 27, 2023.
  9. "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 5/18". May 18, 2023.
  10. Palmeri, Tara (March 3, 2023). ""CSI" Actor Hill Harper Readying a Senate Run". Retrieved March 3, 2023.
  11. "In Michigan, Democratic women are rising. Now some are weighing a Senate run". Washington Post. Retrieved January 19, 2023.
  12. "Possible candidates emerge for US Senate after Stabenow retirement announcement". WXYZ 7 Action News Detroit. January 6, 2023.
  13. "Stabenow will not seek reelection in 2024, speculation on replacement ensues". January 5, 2023.
  14. Lee Hill, Meredith; Everett, Burgess; Levine, Marianne (January 5, 2023). "Stabenow to leave Senate next year, setting off battleground-state jostling".
  15. "Jocelyn Benson won't run for U.S. Senate in Michigan in 2024".
  16. "Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow won't seek reelection in 2024". Washington Post. Retrieved January 5, 2023.
  17. "Buttigieg reiterates he won't seek Senate seat in Michigan". The Hill. February 5, 2023. Retrieved February 5, 2023.
  18. Shabad, Rebecca; Gomez, Henry (January 5, 2023). "Sen. Debbie Stabenow announces she won't seek re-election in 2024". NBC News. Retrieved January 5, 2023.
  19. "Dingell says she won't run for U.S. Senate in Michigan".
  20. Hulse, Carl; Epstein, Reid (January 5, 2022). "Stabenow, Michigan Senator for More Than Two Decades, Won't Run in 2024". New York Times. Retrieved January 5, 2022.
  21. "Calley and El-Sayed rule out Senate campaigns, McMorrow stays mum".
  22. Nann Burke, Melissa. "Michigan Lt. Gov. Gilchrist says he won't run for U.S. Senate". The Detroit News. Retrieved February 27, 2023.
  23. Schneider, Elena (January 5, 2023). "Within hours of Debbie Stabenow announcing her retirement, Dems are scrambling to replace her". Politico. Retrieved January 5, 2023.
  24. Burke, Melissa Nann; Beggin, Riley; Mauger, Craig (January 5, 2023). "Here's who might run for Debbie Stabenow's Senate seat". The Detroit News. Retrieved January 5, 2023.
  25. Schuster, Simon (February 22, 2023). "Almost 18 months from the primary, Michigan's U.S. Senate race has early entrants". MLive. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
  26. Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel on the chaos within the GOP and election denialism on YouTube
  27. Burke, Melissa Nann (January 5, 2023). "Michigan's U.S. Sen. Stabenow won't seek reelection in 2024". Detroit News. Retrieved January 5, 2023.
  28. "Haley Stevens passes on bid for Michigan Senate seat".
  29. "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 1/5". The Daily Kos. January 5, 2023. Retrieved January 9, 2023.
  30. Melinn, Kyle; Heywood, Todd (May 12, 2023). "Anthony, 52 Mid-Michigan leaders back Slotkin's U.S. Senate run". Lansing City Pulse. Retrieved May 12, 2023.
  31. "EMILYs List Endorses Elissa Slotkin for Election to the United States Senate".
  32. Fernandez, Madison (March 20, 2023). "The next battleground for abortion rights". Politico. Retrieved March 20, 2023.
  33. "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 11, 2023.
  34. "VoteVets PAC Endorses Slotkin for Senate".
  35. Michaelis, Mathias (March 20, 2023). "Pamela Pugh, the president of the Michigan State Board of Education, said she's considering a run against Elissa Slotkin and other Dems for the seat held by retiring Debbie Stabenow". Politico. Retrieved March 20, 2023.
  36. "Former Detroit lawmaker joins race for Michigan seat in US Senate". Michigan Radio. May 16, 2023. Retrieved May 16, 2023.
  37. "Rep. Elissa Slotkin running for Michigan Senate seat".
  38. "State Board of Ed member Nikki Snyder launches U.S. Senate campaign".
  39. "James Craig weighing bid for U.S. Senate". April 8, 2023.
  40. "Three Republicans Eye Michigan's Senate Seat". politicalwire.com. February 6, 2023. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
  41. "The 2024 Senate Map Favors Republicans, but Candidates Remain the Wild Card". May 9, 2023.
  42. "With Abortion Comments, Trump Hands DeSantis Iowa Opportunity". May 17, 2023.
  43. Mauger, Craig (January 9, 2023). "Michigan state Sen. Ruth Johnson weighing bid for the U.S. Senate". The Detroit News. Archived from the original on January 10, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  44. "GOP, Dems strategize to run for Stabenow's Senate seat; may face pressure to retire early". January 9, 2023.
  45. "Replacing Michigan's Sen. Stabenow could be a very crowded contest". mlive.com. January 9, 2023. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
  46. "Three Republicans Eye Michigan's Senate Seat". politicalwire.com. Retrieved February 22, 2023. "Former Rep. Peter Meijer (R-MI) — an Iraq veteran who lost his primary last year after voting to impeach former President Donald Trump — confirmed in an interview that he's exploring a run for Sen. Debbie Stabenow's (D-MI) seat," The Dispatch reports.
  47. Stuart, Maria (January 5, 2023). "Senator Slotkin? Rumors fly that Slotkin will run in '24 to replace retiring Stabenow". WXYZ. Retrieved January 9, 2023.
  48. Michaelis, Mathias (January 5, 2022). "Former GOP gov candidate Ryan Kelley mulling both plea deals and new election campaigns". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved January 5, 2022.
  49. Finley, Nolan (May 3, 2023). "Finley: Will GOP whiff on Senate seat?". The Detroit News. Archived from the original on May 4, 2023. Rogers... When I asked him recently whether he'd consider switching to the Senate, he said, "Never say never," and added, "With the right candidate, I do believe Slotkin is beatable."
  50. "Is Bill Schuette going to run for U.S. Senate?". April 25, 2023.
  51. Roskopp, Jack (January 5, 2023). "Who could run for Debbie Stabenow's empty Michigan senate seat in 2024? Some potential names". Click on Detroit. Retrieved May 15, 2023.
  52. Mutnick, Ally (May 1, 2023). "New York Stock Exchange exec mulling Michigan Senate bid". POLITICO. Retrieved May 1, 2023.
  53. Cappelletti, Joey (January 5, 2023). "Stabenow's retirement scrambles Michigan Senate race in 2024". WXYZ. Retrieved January 5, 2023.
  54. Krause, Sheldon (February 27, 2023). "Tom Barrett will run again for Congress in 2024; several Democrats still considering". Retrieved February 27, 2023.
  55. "Elissa Slotkin kicks off Senate campaign with a kitchen-table message". Tudor Dixon, the Republican gubernatorial nominee in 2022, also indicated she wouldn't seek Stabenow's seat.
  56. Cappelletti, Joey (February 24, 2023). "GOP Rep. John James won't seek Michigan's open Senate seat". AP News. Retrieved February 24, 2023.
  57. "Perry Johnson, mulling presidential or U.S. Senate run, plans Super Bowl ad". January 13, 2023.
  58. "Ex-governor hopeful Perry Johnson exploring presidential bid, preps Super Bowl ad".
  59. Okun, Eli. "POLITICO Playbook PM: McCarthy finally gets some momentum". POLITICO.
  60. "Inside the Early Elbowing for Michigan's Open Senate Seat". January 15, 2023.
  61. "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  62. "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  63. "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
Official campaign websites
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