2024 United States Senate election in Wisconsin
The 2024 United States Senate election in Wisconsin will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Wisconsin. Incumbent two-term Democratic Senator Tammy Baldwin was re-elected with 55.4% of the vote in 2018. Baldwin announced she would be running for re-election on April 12, 2023.[1] No Republican has won this Class 1 senate seat since Joseph McCarthy in 1952.
 | |||||||
| |||||||
| |||||||
| |||||||
| Elections in Wisconsin |
|---|
 |
Background
Wisconsin is considered to be a purple state at the federal level, especially since there is both a Republican and Democratic senator representing the state and that in the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden carried Wisconsin by less than 1 percentage point. Both parties have seen success in the state in recent years. However, Democrats have seen success in statewide races including in 2022 where incumbent governor Tony Evers won by a larger margin than most had expected.[2][3]
Baldwin was first elected in 2012, defeating former governor Tommy Thompson by 6 percentage points and was re-elected in 2018 by 11 percentage points.[4][5]
This race is expected to be competitive given the state's nearly even partisan lean, however, most analysts consider Baldwin to be a slight favorite to win reelection.[6]
Democratic primary
Declared
- Tammy Baldwin, incumbent U.S. Senator[7]
Endorsements
Tammy Baldwin
- Individuals
- Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, labor organizer and president of NextGen America PAC (2021–present)[8]
- Organizations
Republican primary
Publicly expressed interest
- Mike Gallagher, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 8th congressional district (2017–present)[11]
- Eric Hovde, hedge fund manager and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2012[12] (decision expected by December 2023)[13]
- Scott Mayer, staffing executive[14] (decision expected by Labor Day 2023)[15]
- Tom Tiffany, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 7th congressional district (2020–present)[16] (decision expected in summer 2023)[17]
Potential
- Rachel Campos-Duffy, Fox News host and wife of former U.S. Representative Sean Duffy[12]
- David Clarke, former Democratic Milwaukee County Sheriff (2002–2017)[18][19]
- Sean Duffy, former U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 7th congressional district (2011–2019)[12][19]
- Rebecca Kleefisch, former Lieutenant Governor of Wisconsin (2011–2019) and candidate for Governor of Wisconsin in 2022[20]
- Kevin Nicholson, businessman, former member of the Wisconsin Board of Veterans Affairs, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[19][21]
- Reince Priebus, former White House Chief of Staff (2017), former chair of the Republican National Committee (2011–2017), and former chair of the Wisconsin Republican Party (2007–2011)[19]
- Roger Roth, former state senator (2015–2023), nephew of former U.S. Representative Toby Roth, and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Wisconsin in 2022[19]
Declined
- Bryan Steil, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 1st congressional district (2019–present)[22]
- Scott Walker, former Governor of Wisconsin (2011–2019)[23]
Libertarian convention
Declared
- Phil Anderson, realtor, former chair of the Wisconsin Libertarian Party, and perennial candidate[24]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Lean D | January 24, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Battleground | January 6, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Lean D | January 24, 2023 |
References
- Andrea, Lawrence (April 12, 2022). "Tammy Baldwin launches re-election bid, setting up 2024 Senate battle in Wisconsin". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
- "Wisconsin 2020 presidential election results". www.cnn.com. Retrieved March 21, 2023.
- "Opinion | In Wisconsin, Tony Evers made a virtue of being dull". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved March 21, 2023.
- "Wisconsin". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 21, 2023.
- "Wisconsin | Full Senate results". www.cnn.com. Retrieved March 21, 2023.
- Coleman, J. Miles. "The Senate: Race for Majority Remains a Toss-up as 2024 Looms – Sabato's Crystal Ball". Retrieved February 25, 2023.
- Wells, Dylan (April 12, 2022). "Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin announces reelection bid in Wisconsin". Washington Post. Retrieved April 12, 2022.
- "NextGen PAC: Endorses Sen. Baldwin ahead of 2024 elections". Wispolitics.com. May 10, 2023. Retrieved May 10, 2023.
- "LPAC Announces April 2023 Endorsement Slate". LPAC. Retrieved April 24, 2023.
- afujii. "LGBTQ+ Victory Fund Endorses Tammy Baldwin for U.S. Senate". LGBTQ+ Victory Fund. Retrieved May 10, 2023.
- "Senate Republicans confront 2024 primary challenges and Trump's influence". April 10, 2023.
- "Wisconsin Republicans Who Could Challenge Sen. Tammy Baldwin in 2024". February 13, 2023.
- "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 5/9".
- "Franklin businessman considering '24 run for U.S. Senate, spox says Clarke hasn't ruled out bid". March 14, 2023.
- "Wis. businessman to decide on Senate run by Labor Day". April 19, 2023.
- "Rep. Tom Tiffany buys domain names as he considers Senate bid against Tammy Baldwin". April 17, 2023.
- "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 5/10".
- Brodey, Sam (March 14, 2023). "Sheriff David Clarke Dusts Off Cowboy Hat and Eyes Run for Senate". The Daily Beast. Retrieved March 14, 2023.
- "Republicans' best hope for Wisconsin Senate is a Trump critic". March 22, 2023.
- "Businessman Scott Mayer weighs GOP U.S. Senate against Tammy Baldwin". March 16, 2023.
- "Rivals Ding DeSantis on Disney Dispute". May 1, 2023.
- "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 3/31".
- Glauber, Bill (March 20, 2023). "Scott Walker won't challenge Democratic U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin in 2024: 'I would be bored as a senator'". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved March 20, 2023.
- "First Declared Challenger to Tammy Baldwin is a Libertarian".
- "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.