2024 United States Senate election in Ohio

The 2024 United States Senate election in Ohio will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Ohio. Incumbent three-term Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown is running for reelection to a fourth term in office.[1] Brown is one of three Democratic senators up for re-election in states that Donald Trump won in both 2016 and 2020, alongside Senators Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Jon Tester of Montana. Brown's re-election is considered essential for Democrats' chances to retain the Senate majority in 2024.[2]

For related races, see 2024 United States Senate elections.
Not to be confused with 2024 Ohio Senate election.
2024 United States Senate election in Ohio
November 5, 2024
 
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. senator

Sherrod Brown
Democratic


Elections in Ohio
Federal government
U.S. President
U.S. Senate
U.S. House of Representatives
State government
General elections
Gubernatorial elections
Lieutenant Governor elections
Secretary of State elections
Attorney General elections
State Auditor elections
State Treasurer elections
State Supreme Court elections
State House elections
State Senate elections
Ballot measures
2004
2011
2018
Akron
Mayoral elections
Cincinnati
Mayoral elections
City Council elections
Cleveland
Mayoral elections
City Council elections
Columbus
Mayoral elections
Cuyahoga County
County executive elections
County Council elections
Toledo
Mayoral elections

Background

Ohio has trended towards Republicans in recent years and is now seen as a moderately red state at the federal level. Republicans control the other U.S. Senate seat, all statewide offices, and a majority in its U.S. Representative congressional delegation. However, Democrats managed to net gain a seat in the U.S. Representatives delegation of Ohio even though the map was gerrymandered in the GOP's favor.[3][4][5]

Brown was first elected in 2006 defeating then-incumbent U.S. Senator Mike DeWine and has won reelection in 2012 and 2018.[6][7][8]

Even with a slight Republican partisan lean this race is expected to be highly competitive, as Brown is generally popular amongst Ohioans.[9] Ohio voted for former President Donald Trump in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections and elected Republican J.D. Vance over Democrat Tim Ryan to fill the open seat vacated by retiring Republican Rob Portman in the 2022 election.[10][11]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements
Sherrod Brown
Organizations

Republican primary

Declared

Announcement pending

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Declined

Endorsements
Warren Davidson[lower-alpha 1]
U.S. Representatives
Organizations
Matt Dolan
Municipal officials
Local officials
Organization
Bernie Moreno
Individuals
Organizations

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Tossup January 24, 2023
Inside Elections[32] Battleground January 6, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Tossup January 24, 2023

References
  1. Tobias, Andrew (September 13, 2022). "Ohio's Sen. Sherrod Brown says he's running for reelection in 2024". Cleveland.com. Retrieved September 16, 2022.
  2. Everett, Burgess (August 2, 2022). "GOP eyes 2024 payback for Manchin's Dems-only deal". Politico. Retrieved August 29, 2022.
  3. "GOP dominates Ohio's statewide midterm races". WOSU News. Retrieved May 5, 2023.
  4. Carrillo, Karen Juanita (October 6, 2022). "Ohio votes under 'extreme' gerrymandering that favors Republicans". Center for Public Integrity. Retrieved May 5, 2023.
  5. DeWitt, David (November 9, 2022). "Ohio Democrats pick up one U.S. Congressional seat in midterm election". Ohio Capital Journal. Retrieved May 5, 2023.
  6. "CNN.com - Elections 2006". www.cnn.com. Retrieved May 5, 2023.
  7. "2012 Ohio Senate Results". POLITICO. Retrieved May 5, 2023.
  8. "Ohio U.S. Senate Election Results". The New York Times. January 28, 2019. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved May 5, 2023.
  9. Yokley, Eli (January 11, 2023). "Kyrsten Sinema Remains Among America's Most Unpopular Senators After Party Switch". Morning Consult. Retrieved April 18, 2023.
  10. Dorman, John. "Republican JD Vance has a narrow edge over Democratic Rep. Tim Ryan in the Ohio Senate race: poll". Business Insider. Retrieved August 29, 2022.
  11. "Republican J.D. Vance defeats Democrat Tim Ryan in Ohio Senate race, NBC News projects".
  12. "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Brown for Reelection". End Citizens United. March 30, 2023. Retrieved April 1, 2023.
  13. "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". Feminist Majority Foundation PAC. Retrieved April 11, 2023.
  14. "ENDORSEMENTS - North Shore Federation of Labor". North Shore AFL-CIO. January 1, 2023. Retrieved March 2, 2023.
  15. BeMiller, Haley (January 16, 2023). "Ohio Sen. Matt Dolan announces 2024 U.S. Senate bid against Sherrod Brown". The Columbus Dispatch. Retrieved January 18, 2023.
  16. Rouan, Rick (April 18, 2023). "Bernie Moreno launches U.S. Senate campaign to unseat Sherrod Brown". cleveland. Retrieved April 18, 2023.
  17. Popielarz, Taylor (February 17, 2023). "Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose weighs Senate bid". Spectrum News. Retrieved February 20, 2023.
  18. "Ohio secretary of state tells donors he'll enter GOP Senate primary 'soon'". NBC News. Retrieved May 9, 2023.
  19. Burgess, Everett (December 5, 2022). "Red-state rodeos to set GOP's 2024 Senate chances". Politico. Retrieved December 5, 2022.
  20. "Is Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose considering a run at a U.S. Senate seat?". March 8, 2023.
  21. Tobias, Andrew J. (November 14, 2022). "Fresh off yet another loss, Ohio Democrats look for answers with Sherrod Brown's 2024 reelection campaign on the horizon". Cleveland.com.
  22. "Ohio's Drive Capital moves forward as co-founder Mark Kvamme takes detour". November 22, 2022.
  23. "DeWine gets behind an August election to make constitutional amendments harder: Capitol Letter".
  24. "Another bruising Senate race brews in Ohio as Republicans target Sherrod Brown". NBC News. November 16, 2022. Retrieved November 16, 2022.
  25. Sewell, Dan. "Dan Sewell: Anti-woke crusader mulls political future". Cincinnati.com. Retrieved January 30, 2023.
  26. Severi, Misty; Roth, Samantha-Jo (February 22, 2023). "Vivek Ramaswamy announces candidacy for 2024 presidential election". Washington Examiner. Retrieved February 21, 2023.
  27. Singer, Jeff (March 17, 2023). "GOP leaders don't want this Ohio congressman to run for Senate, but top hardline group sure does". Daily Kos. Retrieved May 16, 2023.
  28. Gorman, Reese (May 16, 2023). "Sixteen Ohio county law enforcement officials endorse Matt Dolan for Senate". The Washington Examiner. Retrieved May 16, 2023.
  29. LaRosa, Angela (May 13, 2023). "Candidate: 'Best suited' to oust Sen. Brown". The Courier. Retrieved May 16, 2023.
  30. {{url=https://www.tpaction.com/endorsements |title=2024 Endorsements |website=Turning Point Action |language=en-US |access-date=May 16, 2023}}
  31. "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  32. "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  33. "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
Official campaign websites

Notes
  1. Has not declared his candidacy
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