List of sovereign states by natural increase

This article contains a list of countries by rate of natural increase.

The natural increase in population, from the CIA World Factbook, 2017.
  ≥ 30
  25 – 29.99
  20 – 24.99
  15 – 19.99
  10 – 14.99
  5 – 9.99
  0 – 4.99
  -5 – -0.01
  < -5
  Data unavailable

Methodology

The rate of natural increase is defined as the crude birth rate minus the crude death rate. It is expressed as a rate per 1,000 population.

Countries and subnational areas

The birth rates[1] and death rates[2] in columns one and two are the CIA World Factbook estimates for the year 2022 unless otherwise noted, rounded to the nearest tenth (except for Mayotte and the Falkland Islands with 2010 and 2012 estimates respectively). The natural increase rate in column three is calculated from the rounded values of columns one and two. Rates are the average annual number of births or deaths during a year per 1,000 persons; these are also known as crude birth or death rates.

Column four is from the UN Population Division [3] and shows a projection for the average natural increase rate for the time period shown using the medium fertility variant. Blank cells in column four indicate lack of data.

Country or subnational area Crude birth rate Crude death rate Natural increase rate Natural increase rate (2015–20)[4]
 
 Niger47.19.937.237.9
 Uganda40.9535.931.8
 Angola41.8833.832.6
 Benin41.2833.227.4
 Mali41.18.532.632
 Democratic Republic of the Congo40.17.932.231.8
 Mayotte (France)38.76[n 1]7.0531.7125.6
 Chad40.59.53130.2
 Liberia36.66.63025.6
 Burundi35.2629.231.2
 Guinea-Bissau36.57.52925.7
 Zambia34.96.128.829.7
 Tanzania33.35.128.230.4
 South Sudan37.79.528.224.6
 Cameroon35.57.727.826.3
 Guinea35.78.127.626
 Mozambique37.510.327.229.1
 Sudan33.56.327.225.1
 Togo31.95.326.624.8
 Senegal31.55.126.428.9
 Somalia3811.626.430.9
 Burkina Faso33.67.725.929.9
 Nigeria34.28.725.526.1
 East Timor30.95.625.3
 Ethiopia30.55.724.825.9
 Gaza Strip27.72.924.8
 Zimbabwe33.18.824.322.8
 Papua New Guinea295.523.519.8
 Republic of the Congo31.88.423.426.3
 Malawi27.94.623.327.5
 Afghanistan35.512.323.226.3
 Gambia28.85.82330.8
 Sierra Leone32.29.322.921.8
 Madagascar28.7622.726.7
 Ghana28.66.122.522.2
 São Tomé and Príncipe28.26.22226.9
 Kenya26.4521.423.4
 Central African Republic32.811.82123
 West Bank24.43.421
 Equatorial Guinea3092124
 Iraq24.73.920.824.3
 Côte d'Ivoire28.37.620.725.7
 Mauritania28.17.420.726.6
 Rwanda26.45.920.526.8
 Pakistan26.5620.521.5
 Gabon265.720.325.1
 Eritrea276.720.323.4
 Jordan22.63.519.118.2
 Yemen24.65.61924.7
 Oman22.13.218.917.2
 Solomon Islands22.7418.728.5
 Syria22.74.218.5
 Namibia256.918.120.6
 Libya21.63.518.113.9
 Marshall Islands224.317.7
 Vanuatu21.6417.624.5
 Guatemala22.34.917.420
 Belize21.33.917.416.8
 Egypt21.54.317.220.7
 Comoros22.56.615.924.8
 Philippines22.36.415.914.7
 Kuwait17.82.315.511.7
 Tonga20.3515.317.3
 Djibouti22.37.115.214.6
 Tajikistan20.75.71526.3
 Nauru21.16.314.8
 Tuvalu22.7814.7
 Laos20.96.414.5
 Algeria18.54.314.220
 Micronesia18.44.214.216.3
 Haiti21.17.213.916
 Samoa19.25.413.819.3
 Eswatini23.49.713.710.8
 Cambodia19.35.813.516.7
 Kyrgyzstan19.56.113.418.7
 Honduras17.94.713.217.4
 Kiribati20.16.913.221.7
 Cape Verde18.55.812.7
 Guam (US)18.6612.611.4
 Israel17.45.112.315.1
 Brunei16.13.812.310.6
 Bangladesh17.75.512.212.8
 Bolivia18.66.512.115.1
 Lesotho23.211.112.112.7
 El Salvador17.95.91211.4
   Nepal17.55.611.913.6
 Panama186.111.914
 Dominican Republic186.311.713.6
 Turkmenistan17.5611.516.9
 Paraguay16.34.911.415.2
 Maldives15.54.211.311.6
 Nicaragua16.55.211.315.8
 Ecuador16.55.211.314.8
 Botswana20.39.111.219.3
 Morocco17.46.610.814
 Saudi Arabia14.23.410.815.5
 American Samoa (US)16.76.110.6
 Venezuela17.36.810.511.1
 Fiji16.66.410.213.3
 Uzbekistan15.55.410.116
 Iran15.35.210.114.2
 Northern Mariana Islands (US)15.55.410.1
 Turks and Caicos Islands (UK)13.53.510
 Vietnam15.75.89.910.7
 Guyana16.76.99.812.6
 Bhutan15.96.29.711.2
 Bahrain12.42.89.611.8
 Mongolia15.86.39.518.1
 Antigua and Barbuda15.25.79.59.1
 Saint Martin (France)14.14.69.5
 Costa Rica14.34.99.49.1
 South Africa18.69.39.311.1
 United Arab Emirates10.81.69.28.9
 Burma16.37.19.29.5
 Malaysia14.65.78.911.8
 Suriname15.46.68.811.3
 Indonesia15.36.88.511.8
 Jamaica15.97.48.58.7
 Argentina15.67.38.39.5
 Tunisia14.66.48.211.5
 New Caledonia (France)14.15.98.28.6
 Bahamas (UK)14.66.48.27.3
 Turkey14.36.18.210.8
 Qatar9.31.47.98.5
 French Polynesia (France)13.55.67.99.2
 Lebanon13.15.67.513.3
 Colombia15.27.77.59.5
 Anguilla (UK)124.67.4
 Sri Lanka13.86.57.39.4
 Kazakhstan15.48.17.314.2
 Brazil146.87.27.7
 Kosovo14.98.16.8
 Azerbaijan13.66.96.78.7
 India16.810.36.511.7
 Sint Maarten (Netherlands)12.66.16.5
 Wallis and Futuna (France)12.35.86.5
 Iceland136.66.45.4
 Faroe Islands (Denmark)14.98.66.3
 Chile12.86.56.36.3
 Falkland Islands (UK) [n 2]10.94.96
 Peru17.211.35.912.6
 New Zealand12.86.95.95.7
 Mexico13.67.75.911.8
 Dominica13.98.15.8
 Cayman Islands (UK)11.765.7
 Grenada13.98.35.6
 Ireland12.36.75.67
 British Virgin Islands (UK)115.45.6
 Australia12.36.85.56.3
 Seychelles12.46.95.59
 Albania12.77.35.44
 Gibraltar (UK)13.98.85.1
 Singapore9.145.14.3
 Montserrat10.95.95
 Saint Kitts and Nevis12.27.34.9
 Greenland (Denmark)13.894.8
 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines12.37.54.8
 North Korea14.29.54.7
 Jersey12.47.84.6
 Curaçao (Netherlands)13.28.74.5
 Luxembourg11.67.24.43.5
 Macau (China)9.14.74.4
 Norway12843.1
 Saint Lucia128.13.95
 United States12.38.43.93.3
 Cyprus10.66.93.73.6
 Uruguay12.79.23.54.5
 Cook Islands (New Zealand)12.69.13.5
 Palau11.58.33.2
 Aruba11.88.63.22.7
 Barbados10.882.83.1
 U.S. Virgin Islands11.68.82.83.3
 Trinidad and Tobago10.88.42.44.8
 Thailand10.17.82.32.9
 Liechtenstein10.382.3
 France11.79.52.22
 Canada10.28.12.12.7
 China9.97.924.8
 Switzerland10.48.422.3
 Bermuda (UK)119.11.9
 Netherlands119.21.81.4
 United Kingdom10.89.11.72.2
 Denmark11.29.51.71
 Armenia11.19.51.64.3
 Sweden10.89.51.32.7
 Belgium119.61.41.1
 Saint Helena, Ascension and Tristan da Cunha (UK)9.38.11.2
 Malta9.78.51.21
 Mauritius9.98.911.9
 Montenegro11.210.30.91.1
 North Macedonia10.59.60.91.3
 Cuba10.19.30.81.3
 Guernsey (UK)9.89.20.6
 Isle of Man (UK)10.610.20.4
 Saint Barthelemy (France)9.390.3
 Georgia1110.80.20.7
 San Marino8.98.80.1
 Finland10.410.400.4
 Hong Kong (China)8804.5
 South Korea6.97.1-0.21.5
 Austria9.59.9-0.40.1
 Taiwan7.47.9-0.50.9
 Andorra6.97.9-1
 Slovakia8.910.1-1.20.6
 Bosnia and Herzegovina8.410.3-1.9-2.4
 Puerto Rico7.99.8-1.9-2
 Slovenia8.310.4-2.1-0.2
 Czechia8.610.7-2.1
 Poland8.510.7-2.2-0.2
 Moldova10.212.5-2.3-1.5
 Germany9.112-2.9-1.7
 Portugal810.9-2.9-2.8
 Spain7.110.2-3.1-0.5
 Belarus9.112.9-3.8-0.7
 Russia9.513.4-3.90.1
 Monaco6.710.7-4
 Croatia8.712.9-4.2
 Hungary8.712.9-4.2-3
 Estonia8.813.1-4.3-1.3
 Italy711.3-4.3-2.8
 Greece7.612-4.4-3
 Japan711.6-4.6-2.9
 Saint Pierre and Miquelon (France)6.511.2-4.7
 Ukraine913.8-4.8-5.6
 Lithuania9.315.1-5.8-3.2
 Latvia8.714.7-6-3.8
 Bulgaria8.114.4-6.3-6.4
 Romania8.815.3-6.5-3.2

Summary by region

The table below assembles history and projections for the major regions shown. The numbers show total births minus total deaths per 1,000 population for the region for each time period. The first four columns show actual rate of natural increase. The remaining columns show projections using the medium fertility variant. All numbers are from the UN Population Division.[4]

Region 1950–55 1970–75 1990–95 2010–15 2015–20 2025–30 2035–40 2045–50
 
World +17.8 +19.5 +15.2 +11.9 +10.9 +8.7 +7.0 +5.6
Africa +21.5 +27.4 +26.1 +26.4 +25.3 +22.8 +20.6 +18.1
Asia +19.3 +22.8 +16.4 +10.7 +9.3 +6.3 +3.8 +1.8
Europe +10.3 +5.5 +0.3 −0.1 −0.7 −2.1 −2.8 −3.2
Latin America & The Caribbean +27.1 +25.8 +19.0 +11.9 +10.4 +7.5 +4.9 +2.8
Northern America +14.9 +6.4 +6.6 +4.2 +4.2 +3.5 +2.0 +1.1
Oceania +15.7 +14.5 +12.2 +10.5 +9.7 +8.0 +6.4 +5.3

See also

Notes

  1. 2010 estimate
  2. 2012 estimate

References

  1. "The World Factbook — Central Intelligence Agency". www.cia.gov. Archived from the original on November 2, 2022.
  2. "The World Factbook — Central Intelligence Agency". www.cia.gov. Archived from the original on October 27, 2022.
  3. "World Population Prospects 2019". United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs.
  4. ""United Nations Population Div, World Population Prospects 2017, File: Rate of Natural Population Growth Rate". Archived from the original on 27 September 2016. Retrieved 23 June 2018.

See also

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