2006 United States Senate election in Florida

The 2006 United States Senate election in Florida was held November 7, 2006. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bill Nelson won re-election to a second term.

2006 United States Senate election in Florida
November 7, 2006
 
Nominee Bill Nelson Katherine Harris
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 2,890,548 1,826,127
Percentage 60.3% 38.1%
County results
Nelson:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Harris:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
U.S. senator before election

Bill Nelson
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Senator

Bill Nelson
Democratic

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Background

During the Terri Schiavo case in March 2005, a talking points memo on the controversy was written by Brian Darling, the legal counsel to Republican Senator Mel Martínez of Florida.[1] The memo suggested the Schiavo case offered "a great political issue" that would appeal to the party's base (core supporters) and could be used against Senator Bill Nelson, a Democrat from Florida who was up for reelection in 2006, because he had refused to co-sponsor the bill which came to be known as the Palm Sunday Compromise.[2] Bill Nelson was nevertheless reelected as Senator on November 7, 2006 with 60% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Endorsements

Polling
Poll Source Date LeRoy
Collins Jr.		 Katherine
Harris		 Will
McBride		 Peter
Monroe
Strategic Vision July 26, 2006 9% 45% 22% 7%
Mason-Dixon July 26, 2006 8% 36% 11% 2%
Quinnipiac July 27, 2006 6% 40% 21% 3%
Scroth Eldon & Associates August 11, 2006 9% 28% 11% 5%
SurveyUSA August 24, 2006 20% 43% 15% 7%
Strategic Vision August 30, 2006 19% 38% 21% 5%
Quinnipiac August 31, 2006 11% 38% 22% 3%
SurveyUSA August 31, 2006 12% 45% 22% 5%
Mason-Dixon September 2, 2006 17% 38% 21% 2%
Primary Results September 5, 2006 15% 49% 30% 5%

Results
Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Katherine Harris 474,871 49.4
Republican Will McBride 287,741 30.0
Republican LeRoy Collins Jr. 146,712 15.3
Republican Peter Monroe 51,330 5.3
Total votes 960,654 100.0

General election

Democrat

Republican
  • Katherine Harris, former Florida Secretary of State and former U.S. Representative

Independents
  • Floyd Ray Frazier
  • Brian Moore, retired health care executive and former congressional candidate
  • Belinda Noah
  • Roy Tanner

Write-ins
  • Alexander Grosholz
  • Lawrence Scott
  • Bernard Senter

Campaign

The organization Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington (CREW), which monitors political corruption, complained to the Federal Elections Commission (FEC) in October 2006 that the Bacardi beverage company had illegally used corporate resources in support of a fundraising event for Nelson in 2005. CREW had previously filed a similar complaint concerning a Bacardi fundraising event for Republican Senator Mel Martinez, an event that raised as much as $60,000 for Martinez's campaign. The amended complaint alleged that, on both occasions, Bacardi violated the Federal Election Campaign Act and FEC regulations by soliciting contributions from a list of the corporation's vendors.[9]

Endorsements

In a rare move, all twenty-two of Florida's daily newspapers supported Nelson, while none supported Harris in the general election.[10]

Debates

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Solid D November 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] Safe D November 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political Report[28] Safe D November 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[29] Safe D November 6, 2006

Polling
Graphical summary
Poll Source Date Bill
Nelson (D)		 Katherine
Harris (R)
Strategic Vision (R) July 20, 2005 48% 40%
Strategic Vision (R) August 21, 2005 47% 38%
Quinnipiac August 31, 2005 57% 33%
Strategic Vision (R) September 22, 2005 48% 36%
Rasmussen November 14, 2005 53% 36%
Quinnipiac November 15, 2005 55% 31%
Strategic Vision (R) November 30, 2005 48% 32%
Rasmussen January 5, 2006 54% 31%
Rasmussen February 14, 2006 49% 40%
Strategic Vision (R) February 22, 2006 49% 34%
Quinnipiac February 24, 2006 53% 31%
University of North Florida March 15, 2006 48% 28%
Mason-Dixon March 29, 2006 51% 35%
Strategic Vision (R) March 30, 2006 56% 28%
Zogby/WSJ March 31, 2006 50% 37%
Rasmussen April 14, 2006 57% 27%
Quinnipiac April 20, 2006 56% 27%
Strategic Vision (R) April 26, 2006 56% 24%
Rasmussen May 22, 2006 60% 33%
Strategic Vision (R) May 25, 2006 56% 26%
Quinnipiac May 25, 2006 58% 25%
Zogby/WSJ June 21, 2006 51% 33%
Strategic Vision (R) June 28, 2006 61% 26%
Quinnipiac June 30, 2006 59% 26%
Zogby/WSJ July 24, 2006 55% 34%
Strategic Vision (R) July 26, 2006 60% 22%
Mason-Dixon July 26, 2006 57% 29%
Quinnipiac July 27, 2006 61% 24%
Rasmussen July 28, 2006 61% 33%
St. Petersburg Times August 11, 2006 60% 25%
Zogby/WSJ August 28, 2006 52% 32%
Strategic Vision (R) August 30, 2006 63% 20%
Rasmussen September 5, 2006 57% 34%
Zogby/WSJ September 11, 2006 51% 33%
SurveyUSA September 14, 2006 53% 38%
Mason-Dixon September 20–22, 2006 53% 35%
Strategic Vision (R) September 27, 2006 59% 31%
Rasmussen September 27, 2006 56% 33%
Rasmussen October 4, 2006 54% 37%
SurveyUSA October 10, 2006 55% 37%
Quinnipiac October 11, 2006 61% 33%
Mason-Dixon October 16–17, 2006 57% 31%
Strategic Vision (R) October 25, 2006 58% 35%
Quinnipiac October 25, 2006 64% 29%
St. Petersburg Times October 28, 2006 56% 30%
Strategic Vision (R) November 2, 2006 59% 33%
Mason-Dixon November 3, 2006 58% 34%
SurveyUSA November 5, 2006 59% 36%

Results

As expected, Nelson was easily reelected. He won with 60.3% of the vote winning by 1,064,421 votes or 22.2%, and carried 57 of Florida's 67 counties. Nelson was projected the winner right when the polls closed at 7 P.M. EST.

General election results
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Bill Nelson (incumbent) 2,890,548 60.3 +9.8
Republican Katherine Harris 1,826,127 38.1 -8.1
Independent Belinda Noah 24,880 0.5 n/a
Independent Brian Moore 19,695 0.4 n/a
Independent Floyd Ray Frazier 16,628 0.3 n/a
Independent Roy Tanner 15,562 0.3 n/a
Write-in 94 0.0 n/a
Majority 1,064,421 22.2 +17.4
Turnout 4,793,534
Democratic hold Swing

See also

References

  1. "Senator's office produced Schiavo memo". Associated Press. April 6, 2005 – via NBC News.
  2. "The Seattle Times: Nation & World: GOP memo says issue offers political rewards". The Washington Post. April 4, 2005. Archived from the original on January 27, 2007 – via The Seattle Times.
  3. "Archived copy". Archived from the original on June 7, 2011. Retrieved August 30, 2006.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  4. U.S. SENATE: It's a toss up | Jacksonville.com
  5. http://www.palmbeachpost.com/news/content/nation/epaper/2006/08/25/a9a_endorse_0825.html
  6. 404 | MiamiHerald.com
  7. Topic Galleries - OrlandoSentinel.com
  8. "Official Results September 5, 2006 Republican Primary Election". Florida Department of State. September 5, 2006. Retrieved December 1, 2017.
  9. "CREW FILES AMENDED FEC COMPLAINT AGAINST BACARDI USA AND MARTINEZ FOR SENATE". Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington. Retrieved August 7, 2018.
  10. Harris, Nelson tout testimonials
  11. "Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived from the original on December 13, 2006. Retrieved July 13, 2008.
  12. "Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived from the original on October 18, 2006. Retrieved October 16, 2006.
  13. U.S. SENATE: Nelson the best choice | Jacksonville.com
  14. The News Press Endorsement Recap
  15. "Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived from the original on October 18, 2006. Retrieved October 16, 2006.
  16. "Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived from the original on October 18, 2006. Retrieved October 20, 2006.
  17. "Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived from the original on November 1, 2006. Retrieved November 1, 2006.
  18. "Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived from the original on October 11, 2006. Retrieved October 11, 2006.
  19. "Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived from the original on November 1, 2006. Retrieved November 1, 2006.
  20. Nelson for U.S. Senate
  21. "Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived from the original on October 18, 2006. Retrieved October 16, 2006.
  22. "Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived from the original on October 18, 2006. Retrieved October 16, 2006.
  23. "Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived from the original on October 18, 2006. Retrieved October 20, 2006.
  24. Tallahassee Democrat - www.tallahassee.com - Tallahassee, FL
  25. "Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived from the original on October 18, 2006. Retrieved October 16, 2006.
  26. "2006 Senate Race Ratings for November 6, 2006" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 5, 2008. Retrieved September 30, 2021.
  27. "Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  28. "2006 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  29. "Election 2006". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
Debates
Campaign Websites (Archived)
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