Opinion polling on the Nayib Bukele presidency

Opinion polling has been conducted in El Salvador since September 2019, three months after President Nayib Bukele took office on 1 June 2019, to gauge public opinion of Bukele and his government. Despite negative reception from outside of El Salvador,[1][2][3] domestically, Bukele is considered to be one of the most popular presidents in Salvadoran history[4] as his approval ratings generally hover around 90 percent.[5][6]

Presidential approval rating

Polling aggregates
Nayib Bukele's presidential approval rating
  Approves
  Disapproves
  Unsure/No Opinion
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Approves Disapproves Unsure Lead
La Prensa Gráfica[7] Feb 2023 1,500 91.0 6.9 2.1 84.1
Cid-Gallup[8] 16–27 Jan 2023 1,200 90.0 4.0 6.0 86.0
La Prensa Gráfica[9] 16–21 Nov 2022 87.8 9.5 2.5 78.3
Funda Ungo[10] Jun 2022 89.0 6.7 4.3 82.3
CIESCA[11] 30 May 2022 1,338 91.6 3.2 5.2 88.4
Cid-Gallup[12] 26 Jan 2022 1,200 84.0 12.0 4.0 72.0
Funda Ungo[10] Nov–Dec 2021 84.5 10.1 5.4 82.3
La Prensa Gráfica[13] 24–29 Nov 2021 1,520 85.1 11.7 3.2 73.4
La Prensa Gráfica[14] 18–24 Aug 2021 1,506 84.7 12.3 2.9 72.4
Cid-Gallup[15] 18 Aug 2021 1,200 87.0 11.0 2.0 76.0
CIESCA[16] 24 May 2021 94.0 6.0 0.0 88.0
La Prensa Gráfica[17] 13–22 May 2021 1,103 86.5 9.1 4.3 77.4
Cid-Gallup[18] 2–10 Mar 2021 1,200 96.0 3.0 1.0 93.0
Cid-Gallup[19] 25 Nov–10 Dec 2020 1,200 89.0 10.0 2.0 79.0
Funda Ungo[10] Nov–Dec 2020  – 91.1 6.2 2.7 84.9
Cid-Gallup[20] 7–16 Nov 2020 1,200 96.0
La Prensa Gráfica[21] 11–22 May 2020 1,406 92.5 5.4 2.1 87.1
La Prensa Gráfica[22] 28 Feb 2020 85.9 10.4 3.7 75.5
La Prensa Gráfica[23] 10 Sept 2019 90.4 0.4 9.2 90.0

Polling on the 2022 gang crackdown

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Support Oppose Unsure Lead
Funda Ungo[24] 1–6 Mar 2023 500 85.6
Cid-Gallup[25] Feb 2023 92.0
UCA[26] Sept 2022 75.9
Cid-Gallup[27] 5 Sept 2022 1,200 91.0 6.0 1.0 85.0
CIESCA[28] 30 May 2022 1,338 90.1 7.1 2.8 83.03

2024 re-election polling

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Would support Would not support Undecided Lead
La Prensa Gráfica[29] 15–24 Feb 2023 1,500 68.0 13.0 19.0 55.0
TResearch[30] 14–16 Feb 2023 1,000 93.9 5.7 0.4 88.2
CEC-UFG[31] 4–8 Feb 2023 1,263 62.2 19.0 18.8 43.2
TResearch[30] Jan 2023 1,000 92.7 5.9 1.4 86.8
TResearch[30] Dec 2022 1,000 93.7 4.8 1.5 88.9
La Prensa Gráfica[32] 16–21 Nov 2022 1,520 64.6 17.9 17.5 46.7
TResearch[30] Nov 2022 1,000 94.1 4.5 1.4 89.6
CEC-UFG[33] 27–31 Oct 2022 1,227 74.7 12.8 12.5 61.9
CEC-UFG[33] 27–31 Oct 2022 1,227 77.2 11.0 11.8 66.2
TResearch[30] Oct 2022 1,000 94.8 3.9 1.3 90.9
TResearch[34] 17–19 Sept 2022 1,000 94.3 4.4 1.4 89.9
CIESCA[35] 18 Sept 2022 25,623 88.3 11.7 76.6
CEC-UFG[36] 10–14 Sept 2022 1,231 58.9 23.1 15.0 35.8
CEC-UFG[37] 26 May 2022 72.2

References

  1. O'Boyle, Brendan (29 April 2020). "Behind Nayib Bukele's "Shocking" Turn". Americas Quarterly. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  2. Kitroeff, Natalie (5 May 2020). "Young Leader Vowed Change in El Salvador but Wields Same Heavy Hand". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  3. Crane, Emily (22 September 2021). "El Salvador's president declares himself world's "coolest dictator"". New York Post. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  4. Galdámez, Eddie (9 March 2022). "Nayib Bukele Approval Rating. Majority of Salvadorans approve of Bukele". elsalvadorinfo.net. El Salvador Info. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  5. Linthicum, Kate (16 May 2021). "El Salvador's Millennial President is a Man with One Vision: Power". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  6. Galdámez, Eddie (22 February 2021). "Despite Claims of Authoritarianism, President Bukele's Popularity Continues to be Strong in El Salvador". Global Voices. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  7. "LPG Datos | Bukele Arranca 2023 con 91% de Aprobación" [LPG Statistics | Bukele Starts 2023 with 91% Approval]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). 15 March 2023. Retrieved 15 March 2023.
  8. "Cid Gallup: 90 % Aprueba a Bukele y 56 % No Tiene Partido Político de Preferencia" [Cid-Gallup: 90% Approves Bukele and 56% Do Not Have a Preferred Political Party]. El Mundo (in Spanish). El Mundo. 2 February 2023. Retrieved 2 February 2023.
  9. Segura, Edwin (12 December 2022). "Bukele Cierra su Tercer Año y Medio de Festión con 88 % de Aprobación" [Bukele Closes His Third Year and a Half with 88% Approval]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). La Prensa Gráfica. Retrieved 12 December 2022.
  10. "Evaluación de al Gestión Gubernamental y Temas de Actualidad del 2022" [Evaluation of Gubernatorial Management and Actual Topics of 2022] (PDF). Funda Ungo (in Spanish). September 2022. p. 7. Retrieved 16 October 2022.
  11. CIESCA Central America [@CIESCA_OFICIAL] (30 May 2022). "Los Salvadoreños Aprueban la Gestión Presidencial. 91.63%" [91.63% of Salvadoran Approve of the Presidential Management] (Tweet) (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2022 via Twitter.
  12. "CID Gallup Dice que el 84% de los Salvadoreños Aprueba la Gestión del Presidente Nayib Bukele" [GID Gallup Says that 84% of Salvadorans Approve of President Nayib Bukele's Management] (in Spanish). ElSalvadorgram.com. 26 January 2022. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  13. Segura, Edwin (15 November 2021). "Bukele Halfway Through His Term with High Approval" [Bukele Llega a la Mitad de su Gestión con Alta Aprobación]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). La Prensa Gráfica. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  14. Segura, Edwin (3 September 2021). "Bukele Approval, Almost Unscathed" [Aprobación de Bukele, Casi Indemne]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). La Prensa Gráfica. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  15. "Cid-Gallup: Bukele con un 87% de Aprobación" [Cid-Gallup: Bukele with 87% Approval] (in Spanish). El Mundo.sv. 18 August 2021. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  16. "Presidente Bukele Recibe Aprobación del 94% de Salvadoreños en sus 2 Años de Gobierno, Según Encuesta" [President Bukele Receives Approval from 94% of Salvadorans in His 2 Years of Government, According to Survey]. El Salvador gram (in Spanish). Centro de Investigaciones, Estudios Sociales de Centroamérica. 24 May 2021. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  17. Segura, Edwin (1 June 2021). "Bukele con 86.5% de Aprobación" [Bukele with 86.5% Approval]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). La Prensa Gráfica. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  18. "98 por Ciento de los Salvadoreños Aprueban la Gestión de Bukele Ante la Pandemia" [98 Percent of Salvadorans Approve Bukele's Management Due to the Pandemic] (in Spanish). Cid-Gallup. 11 March 2021. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  19. "Encuesta de Cid-Gallup Ubica a Nayib Bukele con el 90% de Aprobación Aún Año de Gestión" [Cid-Gallup Poll Locates Nayib Bukele with 90% Approval Still Year in Management]. 102Nueve (in Spanish). Cid-Gallup. 16 December 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  20. "Aprobación del Presidente Nayib Bukele Sube al 96% en el País, Según Última Encuesta de Cid-Gallup" [Approval of President Nayib Bukele Rises to 96% in the Country, According to the Latest Cid-Gallup Poll]. La Pagina (in Spanish). Cid-Gallup. 18 November 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  21. "¡90% de Aprobación para Nayib Bukele en El Salvador!" [90% Approval for Nayib Bukele in El Salvador!]. fubtolcentroamericano (in Spanish). La Prensa Gráfica. 25 May 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  22. "Presidente Nayib Bukele Conserva Alta Aprobación" [President Nayib Bukele Conserves High Approval]. Twitter (in Spanish). La Prensa Gráfica. 28 February 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  23. "Estudio: Presidente Nayib de El Salvador Tiene Aprobación Popular del 90,4 por Ciento" [Study: President Nayib Bukele of El Salvador has Popular Approval of 90.4 Percent]. VOA (in Spanish). La Prensa Gráfica. 10 September 2019. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  24. Magaña, Yolanda (27 March 2023). "Mayoría Aprueba Régimen de Excepción Pero no con Capturas Sin Orden de Arresto: Encuesta" [Majority Approve of State of Excpetion But not with Captures Without Arrest Orders: Poll]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 27 March 2023.
  25. Renteria, Nelson; Kinosian, Sarah (15 February 2023). "El Salvador Vows Gang Crackdown Will Go On as Citizens Cheer Safer Streets". Reuters. Retrieved 22 March 2023.
  26. Murphy, Matt (4 December 2022). "El Salvador: Thousands of Troops Surround City in Gang Crackdown". Reuters. Retrieved 22 March 2023.
  27. "La Población Aprueba as Labores Realizadas en el Campo de la Seguridad" [The Population Approves as Works Carried Out in the Field of Security]. Cid-Gallup (in Spanish). 5 September 2022. Retrieved 5 September 2022.
  28. CIESCA Central America [@CIESCA_OFICIAL] (30 May 2022). "El 90.13%, de los salvadoreños, aprueba el régimen de excepción y la lucha en contra de las pandillas" [90.13% of Salvadorans approve the state of emergency and the war against the gangs.] (Tweet) (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 September 2022 via Twitter.
  29. Rentiera, Nelson (14 March 2023). "Despite Constitutional Ban, Salvadoran Leader Heavily Favored for Reelection, Poll Shows". Reuters. San Salvador, El Salvador. Retrieved 15 March 2023.
  30. Penna, Carlos (24 November 2022). "El Salvador: Reelección Nayib Bukele Nov 2022" [El Salvador: Nayib Bukele Reelection Feb 2023]. TResearch (in Spanish). Retrieved 26 November 2022.
  31. Magaña, Yolanda (16 February 2023). "62.2% de Salvadoreños Están de Acuerdo con la Reelección de Bukele: Encuesta UFG" [62.2% of Salvadorans Are in Agreement of Bukele's Reelection: UFG Poll]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 16 February 2023.
  32. Segura, Edwin (14 December 2022). "LPG Datos | Salvadoreños a Favor de Extender Mandato Presidencial" [LPG Statistics: | Salvadorans in Favor of Extending Presidential Mandate]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 14 December 2022.
  33. Magaña, Yolanda (10 November 2022). "Mayoría Apoya la Reelección Inmediata de Bukele Según Encuesta de UFG" [Majority Support the Immediate Reelection of Bukele According to Poll by UFG]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 10 November 2022.
  34. America Elects [@AmericaElige] (20 September 2022). "Would you vote for the re-election of President Nayib Bukele (NI, conservative) if he decides to run?" (Tweet). Retrieved 16 October 2022 via Twitter.
  35. "88.3% de la Población, a Favor de Reelección de Bukele" [88.3% in Favor of Bukele's Re-Election]. Contrapunto.com.sv (in Spanish). 19 September 2022. Retrieved 16 October 2022.
  36. America Elects [@AmericaElige] (30 September 2022). "Do you agree or disagree with the possible re-election of President Nayib Bukele (NI, conservative)?" (Tweet). Retrieved 16 October 2022 via Twitter.
  37. Genoves, Alessia (26 May 2022). "Reelección de Bukele Piden 72.2% de la Población, según UFG" [72.2% of the Populations Asks for Bukele's Reelection]. Contra Punto (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 17 October 2022. Retrieved 16 October 2022.
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