Next United Kingdom general election in Scotland

Scotland is scheduled to be part of the next United Kingdom general election.

Next United Kingdom general election
No later than January 2025
All 59 Scottish seats to the House of Commons
  Humza Yousaf Keir Starmer Rishi Sunak
Leader Humza Yousaf Keir Starmer Rishi Sunak
Party SNP Labour Conservative
Leader since 27 March 2023 4 April 2020 24 October 2022
Last election 45% 18.6% 25.1%
Current seats 48 1 6
 
Blank
Leader Ed Davey
Party Liberal Democrats
Leader since 27 August 2020
Last election 9.5%
Current seats 4

Background

Nicola Sturgeon resigned as First Minister of Scotland and Leader of the Scottish National Party in early 2023 and was succeeded by Humza Yousaf.[1]

Number of seats

57 seats for election are proposed in a boundary review set to finalised in 2023.This is down from 59 in the 2019 election.[2]

Scottish MPs not seeking re-election
Members of Parliament not standing for re-election
MP Seat First elected Party Date announced
Douglas Ross Moray 2017 Conservative 14 October 2021[3]

Polling in Scotland for next UK General Election
Graph of opinion polls conducted in Scotland

Opinion polling in Scotland for the next United Kingdom General Election

All polling companies listed here are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure and sample size rules.

The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2019 general election on 12 December to the present day.

The Next General election must take place by January 2025 as per provisions of the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022, the next general election . The Act ensures that, if it has not already been dissolved at the request of the prime minister, Parliament automatically dissolves on 17 December 2024, polling occurs no more than 25 working days (allowing for Public Holidays).[4]

Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Sample
size		 SNP Con Lab Lib Dem Green Others Lead
27 Apr- 3 May 2023 Survation True North 1009 38% 18% 31% 9% 4% 7%
30 Apr-2 May 2023 Redfield & Wilton 1238 35% 18% 32% 9% 3% 3% 3%
17-20 Apr 2023 YouGov The Times 1,032 37% 17% 28% 8% 5% 4% 9%
29 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 Survation Survation[5] 1,001 40% 17% 32% 7% 1% 3% 8%
31 Mar - 1 Apr 2023 Redfield & Wilton 1,000 36% 19% 31% 10% 2% 3% 5%
28-31 Mar 2023 Savanta Scotsman 1,009 39% 19% 33% 6% 4% 6%
28-30 Mar 2023 Panelbase Sunday Times 1,089 39% 19% 31% 5% 6% 8%
09-13 Mar 2023 YouGov Sky News 1,002 39% 16% 29% 6% 6% 10%
08-10 Mar 2023 Survation Diffley Partnership 1,037 40% 18% 32% 2% 2% 8%
07-10 Mar 2023 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1,013 40% 16% 33% 6% 5% 7%
02-05 Mar 2023 Redfield Redfield and Wilton 1,050 39% 22% 29% 6% 2% 2% 10%
21-24 Feb 2023 Panelbase Sunday Times 1,026 43% 19% 28% 7% 4% 15%
17-20 Feb 2023 YouGov The Times 1,017 38% 19% 29% 6% 4% 2% 9%
15-17 Feb 2023 Savanta The Scotsman 1,004 42% 17% 32% 6% 10%
15-17 Feb 2023 Survation Survation 1,034 43% 17% 30% 6% 13%
10-15 Feb 2023 YouGov Scottish Election Study 1,239 38% 16% 35% 6% 3% 3%
1-07 Feb 2023 Survation 1,070 42% 18% 29% 6% 4% 13%
23-26 Jan 2023 YouGov Sunday Times 1,088 42% 15% 29% 6% 8% 13%
10-12 Jan 2023 Survation True North 1,002 43% 18% 29% 7% 14%
22-01 Dec 2023 Survation Scotland in Union 1,025 44% 16% 31% 6% 13%
16-21 Dec 2022 Savanta The Scotsman 1,048 43% 19% 30% 6% 13%
12-16 Dec 2022 Panelbase Sunday Times 1,004 45% 17% 28% 6% 4% 17%
06-09 Dec 2022 YouGov The Times 1,090 43% 14% 29% 6% 4% 3% 14%
28-05 Nov 2022 Ipsos STV News 1,045 51% 13% 25% 6% 3% 26%
26-27 Nov 2022 Redfield Redfield and Wilton 1,000 41% 16% 31% 8% 2% 2% 10%
7-11 Oct 2022 Panelbase Alba Party 1,018 42% 16% 30% 6% 6% 12%
05-07 Oct 2022 Panelbase Sunday Times 1,017 45% 15% 30% 5% 15%
30-04 Sep 2022 ComRes The Scotsman 1,029 46% 15% 30% 8% 16%
30-04 Sep 2022 YouGov The Times 1,067 45% 12% 31% 7% 3% 14%
28-29 Sep 2022 Survation Scotland in Union 1,011 44% 15% 31% 6% 13%
17-19 Aug 2022 Panelbase Sunday Times 1,133 44% 20% 23% 8% 21%
7-09 Aug 2022 Survation Diffley Partnership 1,002 46% 18% 26% 7% 2% 20%
29-01 Jun 2022 Panelbase Sunday Times 1,010 47% 19% 23% 8% 24%
23-28 Jun 2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman 1,000 46% 18% 25% 8% 21%
23-29 May 2022 Ipsos STV News 1,000 44% 19% 23% 10% 3% 21%
18-23 May 2022 YouGov The Times 1,115 46% 19% 22% 6% 3% 24%
26-29 Apr 2022 Panelbase Sunday Times 1,009 42% 21% 24% 7% 18%
25-31 Mar 2022 BMG Research The Herald 1,012 42% 19% 26% 6% 4% 1% 16%
24-28 Mar 2022 Survation Ballot Box Scot 1,002 45% 19% 27% 6% 18%
1-04 Feb 2022 Panelbase Sunday Times 1,128 44% 20% 24% 8% 4% 20%
15-22 Dec 2021 Opinium Daily Record 1,328 48% 17% 22% 7% 3% 26%
18-22 Nov 2021 YouGov The Times 1,060 48% 20% 18% 6% 3% 2% 28%
09-12 Nov 2022 Panelbase Sunday Times 1,000 48% 21% 20% 7% 27%
20-26 Oct 2021 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1,001 48% 21% 21% 7% 27%
06-10 Sep 2021 Panelbase Sunday Times 2,003 47% 23% 19% 7% 24%
03-08 Sep 2021 Opinium Sky News 1,014 51% 21% 17% 5% 2% 2% 30%
16-24 Jun 2021 Panelbase Sunday Times 1,287 47% 25% 18% 6% 22%
30-04 Apr 2021 Survation DC Thomson 1,008 48% 22% 20% 7% 1% 26%
02-04 May 2021 YouGov The Times 1,144 48% 22% 19% 5% 4% 1% 26%
28-03 Apr 2021 Opinium Sky News 1,015 47% 25% 20% 6% 1% 22%
27-30 Apr 2021 BMG Research The Herald 1,023 48% 20% 20% 7% 3% 28%
21-26 Apr 2021 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1,075 45% 22% 19% 7% 4% 23%
23-26 Apr 2021 Survation ITV 1,008 46% 22% 22% 8% 2% 24%
23-Apr-21 Survation These Islands 1,047 48% 22% 20% 8% 3% 26%
22-Apr-21 Survation DC Thomson 1,037 47% 21% 22% 8% 2% 25%
16-20 Apr 2021 YouGov The Times 1,204 48% 24% 19% 4% 3% 1% 24%
01-06 Apr 2021 Opinium Sky News 1,023 50% 24% 19% 4% 1% 26%
29-30 Mar 2021 Survation The Courier 1,021 49% 21% 21% 8% 1% 26%
22-Mar-21 Yougov The Times 1,194 49% 24% 17% 4% 6% 25%
16-19 Mar 2021 BMG Research The Herald 1,021 47% 21% 19% 7% 3% 1% 26%
11-18 Mar 2021 Survation The Courier 1,452 49% 21% 21% 7% 1% 28%
11-16 Mar 2021 Opinium Sky News 1,096 50% 23% 19% 5% 3% 1% 27%
9-12 Mar 2021 Survation Scotland In Union 1,011 46% 22% 23% 7% 2% 23%
04-08 Mar 2021 YouGov The Times 1,100 50% 23% 17% 5% 3% 1% 27%
25-26 Feb 2021 Survation Daily Record 1,011 48% 23% 21% 6% 25%
11-13 Jan 2021 Survation Scot Goes Pop 1,020 48% 19% 23% 7% 25%
04-09 Dec 2020 Survation Survation 1,009 51% 20% 21% 6% 3% 30%
05-11 Nov 2020 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1,020 50% 21% 20% 5% 2% 29%
06-10 Nov 2020 YouGov The Times 1,089 53% 19% 17% 4% 3% 3% 34%
28-04 Oct 2020 Survation Survation 1,059 52% 18% 20% 8% 32%
21-Sep-20 JL Partners Politico 1,060 56% 18% 15% 7% 4% 38%
02-07 Sep 2020 Survation Survation 1,018 51% 20% 21% 6% 30%
06-10 Aug 2020 YouGov The Times 1,142 54% 20% 16% 5% 2% 2% 34%
30-03 Jun 2020 Panelbase Sunday Times 1,026 53% 21% 19% 6% 32%
01-05 Jun 2020 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1,022 51% 21% 19% 6% 2% 30%
01-05 May 2020 Panelbase Wings Over Scotland 1,086 50% 26% 17% 5% 2% 24%
24-27 Apr 2020 YouGov YouGov 1,095 51% 25% 15% 6% 2% 26%
24-26 Mar 2020 Panelbase Sunday Times 1,023 48% 27% 16% 5% 3% 21%

See also

Notes

    References
    1. "Nicola Sturgeon resigns: SNP to announce new leader on 27 March as Swinney rules himself out". BBC News. Retrieved 2023-05-07.
    2. "Boundary review 2023: Which seats will change in Scotland and Wales?".
    3. Malik, Paul (14 October 2021). "Westminster boundary shake-up will impact all Courier voters'". The Courier. Retrieved 14 October 2021.
    4. "When Is The Next UK General Election?". Politics.co.uk. Retrieved 2023-04-18.
    5. "Survation 3 Apr 2023".
    This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.